FC Luzernvs
FC Thun
1 - 3Correct
Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 91.8%
- Market said
- 69.8%
- Edge
- +22.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.36
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.36
High confidenceEdge +22.0%
Our model91.8%
The market69.8%
The market underrated this by 22.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +22.0%Correct
Our model91.8%
The market69.8%
- Edge
- +22.0
- Odds
- 1.36
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model73.0%
The market80.0%
- Edge
- -7.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Draw No Bet
FC Thun (DNB)
Correct
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model53.8%
The market72.2%
- Edge
- -18.4
- Odds
- 1.33
Match Winner
FC Thun Win
Edge +1.8%Correct
Our model40.0%
The market38.2%
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 2.62
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.