UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 20 August 2026AI PICK

FC Midtjylland badgeFC MidtjyllandvsHNK Rijeka badgeHNK Rijeka

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
55.8%
Edge
+2.6 pts
Best odds
1.72

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.72

MediumEdge +2.6%
Our model58.4%
The market55.8%

The market underrated this by 2.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Midtjylland badge

FC Midtjylland

Attack76
Defence50
Form69
HNK Rijeka badge

HNK Rijeka

Attack48
Defence100
Form76

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model76.2%
The market90.1%
Edge
-13.9
Odds
1.11

Draw No Bet

FC Midtjylland (DNB)

Correct
Our model68.3%
The market76.9%
Edge
-8.6
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.6%Close
Our model58.4%
The market55.8%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
1.72

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.2%
The market55.6%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

FC Midtjylland Win

Correct
Our model51.2%
The market58.8%
Edge
-7.6
Odds
1.70

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.98

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

7.9%

3-1

7.3%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.