Premier League badgePremier League · 1 May 2026AI PICK

FC Minsk badgeFC MinskvsNaftan badgeNaftan

4 - 2
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.4%
Market said
52.9%
Edge
+17.5 pts
Best odds
1.89

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.89

High confidenceEdge +17.5%
Our model70.4%
The market52.9%

The market underrated this by 17.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Minsk badge

FC Minsk

Attack38
Defence35
Form29
Naftan badge

Naftan

Attack47
Defence34
Form28

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.5%Miss
Our model70.4%
The market52.9%
Edge
+17.5
Odds
1.89

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +4.3%Miss
Our model60.2%
The market55.9%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
1.79

Match Winner

FC Minsk Win

Edge +4.6%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

FC Minsk (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.