FC Orenburgvs
FC Rostov
2 - 1Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.8%
- Market said
- 42.6%
- Edge
- +16.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.30
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.30
The market underrated this by 16.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +16.2
- Odds
- 2.30
Draw No Bet
FC Orenburg (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.9
- Odds
- 1.87
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -18.2
- Odds
- 1.43
Match Winner
FC Orenburg Win
- Edge
- +4.4
- Odds
- 2.55
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.89
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.8% · actual
1-1
9.9%
1-2
7.0%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.