Premier League badgePremier League · 18 April 2026AI PICK

FC Orenburg badgeFC OrenburgvsLokomotiv badgeLokomotiv

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
52.1%
Market said
42.9%
Edge
+9.2 pts
Best odds
2.33

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.33

LowEdge +9.2%
Our model52.1%
The market42.9%

The market underrated this by 9.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Orenburg badge

FC Orenburg

Attack28
Defence44
Form27
Lokomotiv badge

Lokomotiv

Attack69
Defence40
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +7.5%
Our model85.0%
The market77.5%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
1.29

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.2%Correct
Our model52.1%
The market42.9%
Edge
+9.2
Odds
2.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model49.1%
The market64.9%
Edge
-15.8
Odds
1.54

Draw No Bet

Lokomotiv (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Lokomotiv Win

Correct
Our model43.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-7.0
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.