Premier League badgePremier League · 14 August 2026AI PICK

FC Orenburg badgeFC OrenburgvsLokomotiv badgeLokomotiv

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
55.3%
Edge
+2.5 pts
Best odds
1.78

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.78

MediumEdge +2.5%
Our model57.8%
The market55.3%

The market underrated this by 2.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Orenburg badge

FC Orenburg

Attack53
Defence48
Form53
Lokomotiv badge

Lokomotiv

Attack74
Defence95
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model72.1%
The market76.3%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
1.31

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.5%Close
Our model57.8%
The market55.3%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.78

Draw No Bet

Lokomotiv (DNB)

Void
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market60.1%
Edge
-6.9
Odds
1.60

Match Winner

Lokomotiv Win

Miss
Our model43.1%
The market48.5%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
2.06

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.8%
The market10.1%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.89

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.8%

1-1

9.9% · actual

2-1

7.0%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.