Premier League badgePremier League · 22 April 2026AI PICK

FC Orenburg badgeFC OrenburgvsNizhny Novgorod badgeNizhny Novgorod

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 0 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
75.7%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+21.1 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.83

High confidenceEdge +21.1%
Our model75.7%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 21.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Orenburg badge

FC Orenburg

Attack28
Defence44
Form27
Nizhny Novgorod badge

Nizhny Novgorod

Attack34
Defence44
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 2 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +10.4%
Our model85.0%
The market74.6%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
1.34

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +21.1%Close
Our model75.7%
The market54.6%
Edge
+21.1
Odds
1.83

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +10.0%Miss
Our model62.9%
The market52.9%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
1.89

Match Winner

FC Orenburg Win

Edge +2.8%
Our model52.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+2.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

FC Orenburg (DNB)

Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 0 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.