FC Porto Bvs
Benfica B
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.1%
- Market said
- 28.7%
- Edge
- +32.4 pts
- Best odds
- 3.48
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectFC Porto B Win
Match Winner · best price 3.48
The market underrated this by 32.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
FC Porto B
Benfica B
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Match Winner
FC Porto B Win
- Edge
- +32.4
- Odds
- 3.48
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.4
- Odds
- 1.61
Draw No Bet
FC Porto B (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.7
- Odds
- 8.86
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
13.0%
1-1
10.4%
0-1
10.0%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.