Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 30 August 2026AI PICK

FC Porto B badgeFC Porto BvsPenafiel badgePenafiel

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Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
56.7%
Edge
+4.6 pts
Best odds
1.71

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.71

MediumEdge +4.6%
Our model61.3%
The market56.7%

The market underrated this by 4.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Porto B badge

FC Porto B

Attack55
Defence25
Form27
Penafiel badge

Penafiel

Attack31
Defence33
Form28

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model76.6%
The market76.9%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.6%Close
Our model61.3%
The market56.7%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
1.71

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model52.5%
The market51.5%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Penafiel (DNB)

Correct
Our model51.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Penafiel Win

Correct
Our model39.3%
The market41.3%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
2.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.