Primeira Liga · 23 August 2026AI PICK
FC Portovs
Arouca
2 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 42.3%
- Edge
- +11.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.25
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.25
The market underrated this by 11.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
FC Porto
Arouca
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -26.4
- Odds
- 1.02
Draw No Bet
FC Porto (DNB)
- Edge
- -30.4
- Odds
- 1.11
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 2.25
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.1
- Odds
- 2.30
Match Winner
FC Porto Win
- Edge
- -42.6
- Odds
- 1.18
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.10
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
9.6%
1-1
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.