Primeira Liga · 16 May 2026AI PICK
FC Portovs
Santa Clara
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.7%
- Market said
- 47.6%
- Edge
- +12.1 pts
- Best odds
- 2.10
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10
The market underrated this by 12.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
FC Porto
Santa Clara
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 1.21
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +12.1
- Odds
- 2.10
Match Winner
FC Porto Win
- Edge
- -17.5
- Odds
- 1.30
Draw No Bet
FC Porto (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.7
- Odds
- 1.94
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 10.42
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.0% · actual
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.