Taça de Portugal badgeTaça de Portugal · 22 April 2026AI PICK

FC Porto badgeFC PortovsSporting CP badgeSporting CP

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.5%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+9.7 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +9.7%
Our model67.5%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 9.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Porto badge

FC Porto

Attack53
Defence81
Form62
Sporting CP badge

Sporting CP

Attack56
Defence88
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.7%Miss
Our model67.5%
The market57.8%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
1.73

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model65.8%
The market64.1%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.56

Draw No Bet

FC Porto (DNB)

Void
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

FC Porto Win

Edge +0.1%Miss
Our model50.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.