First League · 26 July 2026AI PICK
FC Sochivs
Arsenal Tula
5 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.4%
- Market said
- 43.9%
- Edge
- +25.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.21
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.21
The market underrated this by 25.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
FC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +25.5
- Odds
- 2.21
Draw No Bet
FC Sochi (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.5
- Odds
- 1.97
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -31.6
- Odds
- 1.20
Match Winner
FC Sochi Win
- Edge
- -3.7
- Odds
- 1.88
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.70
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.