First League badgeFirst League · 30 August 2026AI PICK

FC Sochi badgeFC SochivsChelyabinsk badgeChelyabinsk

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
52.0%
Edge
+9.3 pts
Best odds
1.87

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.87

MediumEdge +9.3%
Our model61.3%
The market52.0%

The market underrated this by 9.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Sochi badge

FC Sochi

Attack77
Defence41
Form64
Chelyabinsk badge

Chelyabinsk

Attack47
Defence32
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model76.3%
The market89.3%
Edge
-13.0
Odds
1.12

Draw No Bet

FC Sochi (DNB)

Correct
Our model67.8%
The market80.6%
Edge
-12.8
Odds
1.24

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.3%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market52.0%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
1.87

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model52.5%
The market49.8%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.93

Match Winner

FC Sochi Win

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market65.8%
Edge
-15.8
Odds
1.52

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.17

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.5% · actual

1-1

9.3%

2-0

7.3%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.