First League badgeFirst League · 5 September 2026AI PICK

FC Sochi badgeFC SochivsNizhny Novgorod badgeNizhny Novgorod

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+8.6 pts
Best odds
1.92

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.92

MediumEdge +8.6%
Our model58.6%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 8.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Sochi badge

FC Sochi

Attack85
Defence44
Form71
Nizhny Novgorod badge

Nizhny Novgorod

Attack100
Defence46
Form74

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.3%Correct
Our model82.1%
The market75.8%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.32

Draw No Bet

Nizhny Novgorod (DNB)

Edge +13.7%Correct
Our model60.9%
The market47.2%
Edge
+13.7
Odds
2.12

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.6%Miss
Our model58.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
1.92

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model51.8%
The market56.9%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.69

Match Winner

Nizhny Novgorod Win

Edge +14.4%Correct
Our model50.0%
The market35.6%
Edge
+14.4
Odds
2.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.