First League badgeFirst League · 19 July 2026AI PICK

FC Sochi badgeFC SochivsSpartak Kostroma badgeSpartak Kostroma

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Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.5%
Market said
42.4%
Edge
+22.1 pts
Best odds
2.29

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.29

MediumEdge +22.1%
Our model64.5%
The market42.4%

The market underrated this by 22.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Sochi badge

FC Sochi

Attack70
Defence39
Form56
Spartak Kostroma badge

Spartak Kostroma

Attack48
Defence81
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model74.2%
The market80.0%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +22.1%Close
Our model64.5%
The market42.4%
Edge
+22.1
Odds
2.29

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.3%Miss
Our model61.1%
The market48.8%
Edge
+12.3
Odds
1.97

Draw No Bet

FC Sochi (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

FC Sochi Win

Miss
Our model40.0%
The market49.3%
Edge
-9.3
Odds
2.03

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.98

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

7.9%

3-1

7.3%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.