UEFA Europa League badgeUEFA Europa League · 23 July 2026AI PICK

FC ST. Gallen badgeFC ST. GallenvsBenfica badgeBenfica

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
56.9%
Edge
+4.3 pts
Best odds
1.71

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.71

MediumEdge +4.3%
Our model61.2%
The market56.9%

The market underrated this by 4.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FC ST. Gallen badge

FC ST. Gallen

Attack60
Defence31
Form60
Benfica badge

Benfica

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +35.8%Correct
Our model73.0%
The market37.2%
Edge
+35.8
Odds
2.69

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.3%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market56.9%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
1.71

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model58.8%
The market62.0%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
1.52

Draw No Bet

FC ST. Gallen (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

FC ST. Gallen Win

Edge +24.9%Correct
Our model40.0%
The market15.1%
Edge
+24.9
Odds
6.64

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8% · actual

1-1

11.1%

2-0

8.2%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.