Bundesliga badgeBundesliga · 17 April 2026AI PICK

FC St. Pauli badgeFC St. Paulivs1. FC Köln badge1. FC Köln

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.7%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+4.1 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +4.1%
Our model59.7%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 4.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

FC St. Pauli badge

FC St. Pauli

Attack25
Defence44
Form29
1. FC Köln badge

1. FC Köln

Attack44
Defence44
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.1%Correct
Our model59.7%
The market55.6%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model48.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.8
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

1. FC Köln (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

1. FC Köln Win

Our model40.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-9.4
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.