Bundesliga · 3 May 2026AI PICK
FC St. Paulivs
FSV Mainz 05
1 - 2Full time · 1 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 67.7%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +9.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 9.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 2 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.9
- Odds
- 1.73
Draw No Bet
FSV Mainz 05 (DNB)
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -8.5
- Odds
- 1.91
Match Winner
FSV Mainz 05 Win
- Edge
- -16.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.