FC St. Paulivs
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 - 1Close
Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.7%
- Market said
- 59.9%
- Edge
- +0.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.57
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57
MediumEdge +0.8%
Our model60.7%
The market59.9%
The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Miss
Our model73.5%
The market80.0%
- Edge
- -6.5
- Odds
- 1.25
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +0.8%Close
Our model60.7%
The market59.9%
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.57
Draw No Bet
FC St. Pauli (DNB)
Edge +3.2%Void
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model53.8%
The market62.4%
- Edge
- -8.6
- Odds
- 1.53
Match Winner
FC St. Pauli Win
Miss
Our model51.7%
The market54.6%
- Edge
- -2.9
- Odds
- 1.83
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.