FC St. Paulivs
VfL Wolfsburg
1 - 3Full time · 0 of 1 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.7%
- Market said
- 48.8%
- Edge
- +12.9 pts
- Best odds
- 2.05
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.05
The market underrated this by 12.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 1 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +12.9
- Odds
- 2.05
Draw No Bet
FC St. Pauli (DNB)
- Edge
- -11.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
FC St. Pauli Win
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 2.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 6.21
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
18.5%
1-0
15.2%
0-0
14.5%
We called 0 of 1 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.