Bundesliga badgeBundesliga · 16 May 2026AI PICK

FC St. Pauli badgeFC St. PaulivsVfL Wolfsburg badgeVfL Wolfsburg

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 0 of 1 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.7%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+12.9 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +12.9%
Our model61.7%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 12.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

FC St. Pauli badge

FC St. Pauli

Attack23
Defence43
Form27
VfL Wolfsburg badge

VfL Wolfsburg

Attack31
Defence40
Form16

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 1 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +12.9%Miss
Our model61.7%
The market48.8%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
2.05

Draw No Bet

FC St. Pauli (DNB)

Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

FC St. Pauli Win

Edge +1.8%
Our model38.2%
The market36.4%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
2.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model18.5%
The market16.1%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.21

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

18.5%

1-0

15.2%

0-0

14.5%

We called 0 of 1 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.