Super League badgeSuper League · 25 April 2026AI PICK

FC Thun badgeFC ThunvsFC Lugano badgeFC Lugano

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
80.7%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+15.3 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +15.3%
Our model80.7%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 15.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Thun badge

FC Thun

Attack82
Defence76
Form82
FC Lugano badge

FC Lugano

Attack51
Defence82
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.3%Miss
Our model80.7%
The market65.4%
Edge
+15.3
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.2%Miss
Our model69.9%
The market66.7%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.50

Match Winner

FC Thun Win

Edge +11.9%Miss
Our model61.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+11.9
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

FC Thun (DNB)

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model60.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.