J1 League badgeJ1 League · 21 August 2026AI PICK

FC Tokyo badgeFC TokyovsJEF United Chiba badgeJEF United Chiba

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
49.5%
Edge
+4.3 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95

LowEdge +4.3%
Our model53.8%
The market49.5%

The market underrated this by 4.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Tokyo badge

FC Tokyo

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
JEF United Chiba badge

JEF United Chiba

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model71.2%
The market90.1%
Edge
-18.9
Odds
1.11

Draw No Bet

FC Tokyo (DNB)

Correct
Our model59.4%
The market80.6%
Edge
-21.2
Odds
1.24

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.3%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market49.5%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
1.95

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.4%Close
Our model53.7%
The market51.3%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

FC Tokyo Win

Correct
Our model42.3%
The market66.7%
Edge
-24.4
Odds
1.50

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.