J1 League badgeJ1 League · 6 September 2026AI PICK

FC Tokyo badgeFC TokyovsKyoto Sanga badgeKyoto Sanga

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
56.2%
Edge
+5.0 pts
Best odds
1.78

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.78

MediumEdge +5.0%
Our model61.2%
The market56.2%

The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Tokyo badge

FC Tokyo

Attack58
Defence48
Form53
Kyoto Sanga badge

Kyoto Sanga

Attack46
Defence43
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model74.9%
The market86.2%
Edge
-11.3
Odds
1.16

Draw No Bet

FC Tokyo (DNB)

Correct
Our model67.4%
The market76.3%
Edge
-8.9
Odds
1.31

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.0%Close
Our model61.2%
The market56.2%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.78

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model55.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

FC Tokyo Win

Correct
Our model51.8%
The market61.3%
Edge
-9.5
Odds
1.63

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.26

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.4%

1-1

10.6%

2-0

6.7% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.