J1 League · 10 May 2026AI PICK

FC TokyovsTokyo Verdy

2 - 1

Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 76.5%
Market said: 41.7%
Edge: +34.8 pts
Best odds: 2.40

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.40

High confidenceEdge +34.8%

Our model76.5%

The market41.7%

The market underrated this by 34.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Tokyo

Attack88

Defence82

Form89

Tokyo Verdy

Attack49

Defence46

Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%

Our model85.0%

The market76.9%

Edge: +8.1
Odds: 1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +34.8%Correct

Our model76.5%

The market41.7%

Edge: +34.8
Odds: 2.40

Match Winner

FC Tokyo Win

Edge +19.1%Correct

Our model69.1%

The market50.0%

Edge: +19.1
Odds: 2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +20.1%Correct

Our model66.6%

The market46.5%

Edge: +20.1
Odds: 2.15

Draw No Bet

FC Tokyo (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct

Our model62.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: +4.9
Odds: 1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.0%

Our model8.2%

The market7.2%

Edge: +1.0
Odds: 13.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.2% · actual

3-1

7.7%

2-0

5.9%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

Get the app See the full track record