USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 26 July 2026AI PICK

FC Tulsa badgeFC TulsavsLexington badgeLexington

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
59.6%
Edge
+1.6 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +1.6%
Our model61.2%
The market59.6%

The market underrated this by 1.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Tulsa badge

FC Tulsa

Attack43
Defence49
Form48
Lexington badge

Lexington

Attack71
Defence38
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +6.3%Correct
Our model73.0%
The market66.7%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.6%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market59.6%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.67

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.1%Miss
Our model58.8%
The market54.7%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Lexington (DNB)

Void
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Lexington Win

Edge +4.6%Miss
Our model42.8%
The market38.2%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
2.62

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
9.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6%

1-1

10.9%

0-2

7.4%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.