USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 18 June 2026AI PICK

FC Tulsa badgeFC TulsavsMonterey Bay badgeMonterey Bay

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.9%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+7.1 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

FC Tulsa Win

Match Winner · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +7.1%
Our model64.9%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Tulsa badge

FC Tulsa

Attack56
Defence45
Form54
Monterey Bay badge

Monterey Bay

Attack45
Defence37
Form28

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +2.4%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.6%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
1.21

Match Winner

FC Tulsa Win

Edge +7.1%Correct
Our model64.9%
The market57.8%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
1.73

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model59.7%
The market57.8%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

FC Tulsa (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model55.2%
The market55.6%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model11.0%
The market9.6%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.0%

1-1

9.5%

2-1

9.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.