Challenge League badgeChallenge League · 11 May 2026AI PICK

FC Vaduz badgeFC VaduzvsFC Aarau badgeFC Aarau

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
81.0%
Market said
69.0%
Edge
+12.0 pts
Best odds
1.45

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.45

High confidenceEdge +12.0%
Our model81.0%
The market69.0%

The market underrated this by 12.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Vaduz badge

FC Vaduz

Attack70
Defence56
Form73
FC Aarau badge

FC Aarau

Attack74
Defence53
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.0%Correct
Our model81.0%
The market69.0%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
1.45

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.1%Correct
Our model72.0%
The market70.9%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.41

Draw No Bet

FC Vaduz (DNB)

Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

FC Vaduz Win

Our model40.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-9.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.