Eerste Divisie badgeEerste Divisie · 23 May 2026AI PICK

FC Volendam badgeFC VolendamvsWillem II badgeWillem II

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.7%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+8.4 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +8.4%
Our model59.7%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 8.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Volendam badge

FC Volendam

Attack29
Defence57
Form33
Willem II badge

Willem II

Attack54
Defence100
Form78

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.4%Close
Our model59.7%
The market51.3%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model56.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

Willem II (DNB)

Correct
Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Willem II Win

Correct
Our model33.4%
The market34.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
2.88

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.7%
Our model13.1%
The market11.4%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
8.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.1%

1-1

9.7%

0-2

9.7%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.