Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Felgueiras 1932 badgeFelgueiras 1932vsChaves badgeChaves

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
52.7%
Edge
+1.3 pts
Best odds
1.84

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.84

LowEdge +1.3%
Our model54.0%
The market52.7%

The market underrated this by 1.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Felgueiras 1932 badge

Felgueiras 1932

Attack51
Defence61
Form44
Chaves badge

Chaves

Attack60
Defence36
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model66.9%
The market75.2%
Edge
-8.3
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Felgueiras 1932 (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.8%
The market56.5%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.77

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.3%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market52.7%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.84

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model53.8%
The market57.9%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.66

Match Winner

Felgueiras 1932 Win

Correct
Our model40.1%
The market42.2%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
2.37

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model8.2%
The market9.4%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.62

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

8.2%

2-1

7.7% · actual

2-0

5.9%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.