Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Felgueiras 1932 badgeFelgueiras 1932vsPortimonense badgePortimonense

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.0%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+8.4 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +8.4%
Our model64.0%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 8.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Felgueiras 1932 badge

Felgueiras 1932

Attack25
Defence66
Form38
Portimonense badge

Portimonense

Attack52
Defence42
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.4%Correct
Our model64.0%
The market55.6%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Portimonense (DNB)

Void
Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model43.9%
The market54.6%
Edge
-10.7
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Portimonense Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
-7.7
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.5%Miss
Our model19.4%
The market16.9%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
5.92

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

19.4%

0-0

11.7%

0-2

11.4%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.