Fenerbahçevs
AS Roma
1 - 1Close
Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.1%
- Market said
- 53.4%
- Edge
- +8.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
MediumEdge +8.7%
Our model62.1%
The market53.4%
The market underrated this by 8.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model78.1%
The market75.2%
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +8.7%Close
Our model62.1%
The market53.4%
- Edge
- +8.7
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
AS Roma (DNB)
Void
Our model52.0%
The market56.8%
- Edge
- -4.8
- Odds
- 1.76
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model51.8%
The market58.6%
- Edge
- -6.8
- Odds
- 1.62
Match Winner
AS Roma Win
Miss
Our model40.6%
The market42.4%
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 2.36
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.