UEFA Champions League badgeUEFA Champions League · 5 August 2026AI PICK

Fenerbahçe badgeFenerbahçevsSturm Graz badgeSturm Graz

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.5%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+1.7 pts
Best odds
1.65

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65

MediumEdge +1.7%
Our model59.5%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 1.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Fenerbahçe badge

Fenerbahçe

Attack87
Defence100
Form87
Sturm Graz badge

Sturm Graz

Attack92
Defence54
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.7%Close
Our model59.5%
The market57.8%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.65

Draw No Bet

Fenerbahçe (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.5%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market50.3%
Edge
+3.5
Odds
2.00

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market94.3%
Edge
-42.6
Odds
1.06

Match Winner

Fenerbahçe Win

Correct
Our model33.3%
The market76.9%
Edge
-43.6
Odds
1.30

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.