Fenerbahçevs
Sturm Graz
2 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.5%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +1.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.65
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65
The market underrated this by 1.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Fenerbahçe
Sturm Graz
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.7
- Odds
- 1.65
Draw No Bet
Fenerbahçe (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +3.5
- Odds
- 2.00
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -42.6
- Odds
- 1.06
Match Winner
Fenerbahçe Win
- Edge
- -43.6
- Odds
- 1.30
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.