Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 26 July 2026AI PICK

Fenix badgeFenixvsAtenas badgeAtenas

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.7%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+3.6 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +3.6%
Our model57.7%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 3.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Fenix badge

Fenix

Attack78
Defence49
Form56
Atenas badge

Atenas

Attack63
Defence42
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model74.2%
The market83.3%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.6%Miss
Our model57.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Fenix (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.8%Miss
Our model55.4%
The market47.6%
Edge
+7.8
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Fenix Win

Correct
Our model49.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
-4.6
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

10.3%

1-2

6.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.