Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 8 August 2026AI PICK

Fenix badgeFenixvsLa Luz badgeLa Luz

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+1.9 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

LowEdge +1.9%
Our model54.5%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 1.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Fenix badge

Fenix

Attack61
Defence57
Form51
La Luz badge

La Luz

Attack36
Defence57
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +2.1%Correct
Our model73.5%
The market71.4%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Fenix (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Void
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model54.5%
The market52.6%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model53.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Fenix Win

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model52.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.6%
The market13.4%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.49

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.6%

1-1

13.4%

2-0

10.5%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.