Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Fenix badgeFenixvsPlaza Colonia badgePlaza Colonia

1 - 4
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
42.0%
Edge
+11.7 pts
Best odds
2.38

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.38

LowEdge +11.7%
Our model53.7%
The market42.0%

The market underrated this by 11.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Fenix badge

Fenix

Attack60
Defence63
Form53
Plaza Colonia badge

Plaza Colonia

Attack54
Defence67
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +2.7%
Our model72.1%
The market69.4%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Fenix (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.7%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market42.0%
Edge
+11.7
Odds
2.38

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Fenix Win

Edge +5.3%Miss
Our model42.3%
The market37.0%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
2.70

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

13.4%

1-2

7.7%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.