Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Fenix badgeFenixvsTacuarembo badgeTacuarembo

1 - 2
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
72.5%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+19.9 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Fenix Win

Match Winner · best price 1.90

High confidenceEdge +19.9%
Our model72.5%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 19.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Fenix badge

Fenix

Attack84
Defence65
Form71
Tacuarembo badge

Tacuarembo

Attack38
Defence40
Form19

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Match Winner

Fenix Win

Edge +19.9%Miss
Our model72.5%
The market52.6%
Edge
+19.9
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Fenix (DNB)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model64.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.1%Correct
Our model57.1%
The market40.0%
Edge
+17.1
Odds
2.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.6%
Our model11.9%
The market10.3%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.69

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.9%

2-0

11.0%

2-1

9.9%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.