Division Intermedia badgeDivision Intermedia · 14 August 2026AI PICK

Fernando De La Mora badgeFernando De La MoravsBenjamín Aceval badgeBenjamín Aceval

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+6.1 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

LowEdge +6.1%
Our model53.7%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 6.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Fernando De La Mora badge

Fernando De La Mora

Attack50
Defence43
Form44
Benjamín Aceval badge

Benjamín Aceval

Attack63
Defence59
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model72.1%
The market78.1%
Edge
-6.0
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

Benjamín Aceval (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.1%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market47.6%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Benjamín Aceval Win

Edge +1.4%Miss
Our model43.1%
The market41.7%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
2.40

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.3%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.9%

1-1

12.6%

2-1

7.8% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.