Fernando De La Moravs
Deportivo Capiata
1 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.7%
- Market said
- 54.1%
- Edge
- +0.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 0.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Fernando De La Mora
Deportivo Capiata
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.36
Draw No Bet
Fernando De La Mora (DNB)
- Edge
- +7.5
- Odds
- 1.91
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.6
- Odds
- 1.85
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.6
- Odds
- 2.15
Match Winner
Fernando De La Mora Win
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 2.44
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.76
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.9%
1-1
13.4%
1-2
7.7%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.