Division Intermedia badgeDivision Intermedia · 9 September 2026AI PICK

Fernando De La Mora badgeFernando De La MoravsDeportivo Capiata badgeDeportivo Capiata

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.7%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+0.6 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

LowEdge +0.6%
Our model54.7%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 0.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Fernando De La Mora badge

Fernando De La Mora

Attack51
Defence44
Form40
Deportivo Capiata badge

Deportivo Capiata

Attack49
Defence44
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model70.9%
The market73.5%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Fernando De La Mora (DNB)

Edge +7.5%Correct
Our model59.9%
The market52.4%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
1.91

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.6%Miss
Our model54.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.6%Miss
Our model54.1%
The market46.5%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
2.15

Match Winner

Fernando De La Mora Win

Edge +2.6%Correct
Our model43.6%
The market41.0%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
2.44

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

13.4%

1-2

7.7%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.