Division Intermedia badgeDivision Intermedia · 10 July 2026AI PICK

Fernando De La Mora badgeFernando De La MoravsParaguari AC badgeParaguari AC

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.0%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+3.2 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +3.2%
Our model62.0%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 3.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Fernando De La Mora badge

Fernando De La Mora

Attack38
Defence43
Form36
Paraguari AC badge

Paraguari AC

Attack29
Defence53
Form23

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Draw No Bet

Fernando De La Mora (DNB)

Edge +27.4%Void
Our model84.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
+27.4
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market78.1%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.2%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market58.8%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.9%Miss
Our model58.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Fernando De La Mora Win

Miss
Our model41.1%
The market48.8%
Edge
-7.7
Odds
2.05

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model14.7%
The market16.9%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
5.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.7%

0-0

16.7%

1-1

14.9%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.