Serie C badgeSerie C · 4 July 2026AI PICK

Ferroviária badgeFerroviáriavsCaxias badgeCaxias

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
55.1%
Markets called
2 of 3 right
Final score
0 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

MediumEdge -10.3%
Our model55.1%
The market65.4%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ferroviária badge

Ferroviária

Attack41
Defence100
Form60
Caxias badge

Caxias

Attack44
Defence89
Form55

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model68.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
-14.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model55.1%
The market65.4%
Edge
-10.3
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market59.9%
Edge
-7.9
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Draw

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model35.8%
The market34.5%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
2.90

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model15.3%
The market17.6%
Edge
-2.3
Odds
5.69

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

15.3%

1-1

15.3%

0-1

11.8% · actual

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.