Serie C badgeSerie C · 25 July 2026AI PICK

Ferroviária badgeFerroviáriavsMaranhão badgeMaranhão

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.4%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+4.0 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

MediumEdge +4.0%
Our model69.4%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 4.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ferroviária badge

Ferroviária

Attack48
Defence84
Form58
Maranhão badge

Maranhão

Attack33
Defence40
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market87.7%
Edge
-14.7
Odds
1.14

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.0%Correct
Our model69.4%
The market65.4%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model61.2%
The market63.7%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

Ferroviária (DNB)

Void
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Ferroviária Win

Miss
Our model42.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.3
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model16.3%
The market18.8%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.33

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

16.3%

0-0

16.6% · actual

1-1

14.2%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.