Serie C badgeSerie C · 17 August 2026AI PICK

Ferroviária badgeFerroviáriavsPaysandu badgePaysandu

4 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
44.5%
Edge
+9.2 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

LowEdge +9.2%
Our model53.7%
The market44.5%

The market underrated this by 9.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ferroviária badge

Ferroviária

Attack44
Defence85
Form53
Paysandu badge

Paysandu

Attack76
Defence39
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +7.6%Miss
Our model72.1%
The market64.5%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
1.55

Draw No Bet

Paysandu (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.2%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market44.5%
Edge
+9.2
Odds
2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model52.8%
The market51.1%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Paysandu Win

Edge +9.0%Miss
Our model42.3%
The market33.3%
Edge
+9.0
Odds
3.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.7%
The market11.1%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
8.98

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.7%

1-1

12.9%

0-1

8.9%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.