Ferroviáriavs
Paysandu
4 - 0Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 44.5%
- Edge
- +9.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.25
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25
The market underrated this by 9.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Ferroviária
Paysandu
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +7.6
- Odds
- 1.55
Draw No Bet
Paysandu (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.2
- Odds
- 2.25
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Paysandu Win
- Edge
- +9.0
- Odds
- 3.00
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 8.98
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
8.9%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.