Serie D badgeSerie D · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Ferroviario badgeFerroviariovsAltos badgeAltos

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.0%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+7.1 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Ferroviario Win

Match Winner · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +7.1%
Our model67.0%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Ferroviario badge

Ferroviario

Attack53
Defence47
Form53
Altos badge

Altos

Attack32
Defence40
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Match Winner

Ferroviario Win

Edge +7.1%Correct
Our model67.0%
The market59.9%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
1.67

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model60.5%
The market58.8%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.70

Draw No Bet

Ferroviario (DNB)

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model43.9%
The market47.6%
Edge
-3.7
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.5%Miss
Our model19.4%
The market16.9%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
5.92

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

19.4%

0-0

11.7%

2-0

11.4%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.