Serie D badgeSerie D · 28 June 2026AI PICK

Ferroviario badgeFerroviariovsCentral SC badgeCentral SC

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+5.2 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Ferroviario Win

Match Winner · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +5.2%
Our model57.8%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 5.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Ferroviario badge

Ferroviario

Attack63
Defence59
Form64
Central SC badge

Central SC

Attack35
Defence80
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model75.3%
The market76.9%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
1.30

Match Winner

Ferroviario Win

Edge +5.2%Correct
Our model57.8%
The market52.6%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Ferroviario (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model55.4%
The market65.4%
Edge
-10.0
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model51.6%
The market59.9%
Edge
-8.3
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.2%Close
Our model16.3%
The market14.1%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
7.07

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

16.3%

2-0

11.6% · actual

1-1

9.9%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.