Serie D badgeSerie D · 26 July 2026AI PICK

Ferroviario badgeFerroviariovsGoiatuba EC badgeGoiatuba EC

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
42.0%
Edge
+13.5 pts
Best odds
2.38

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.38

MediumEdge +13.5%
Our model55.5%
The market42.0%

The market underrated this by 13.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ferroviario badge

Ferroviario

Attack57
Defence63
Form58
Goiatuba EC badge

Goiatuba EC

Attack52
Defence100
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model73.0%
The market89.3%
Edge
-16.3
Odds
1.12

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.5%Correct
Our model55.5%
The market42.0%
Edge
+13.5
Odds
2.38

Draw No Bet

Ferroviario (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market44.4%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
2.25

Match Winner

Ferroviario Win

Miss
Our model43.6%
The market58.8%
Edge
-15.2
Odds
1.70

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.