Serie D badgeSerie D · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Ferroviario badgeFerroviariovsPiauí badgePiauí

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
59.6%
Markets called
4 of 5 right, 1 close
Final score
2 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65

MediumEdge -1.0%
Our model59.6%
The market60.6%

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ferroviario badge

Ferroviario

Attack47
Defence47
Form50
Piauí badge

Piauí

Attack47
Defence57
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model59.6%
The market60.6%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.65

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.2%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market47.6%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
2.10

Draw No Bet

Ferroviario (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Ferroviario Win

Correct
Our model44.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.