Serie D badgeSerie D · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Ferroviario badgeFerroviariovsUniclinic Atletico Clube badgeUniclinic Atletico Clube

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.3%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+12.0 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +12.0%
Our model63.3%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 12.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Ferroviario badge

Ferroviario

Attack54
Defence47
Form53
Uniclinic Atletico Clube badge

Uniclinic Atletico Clube

Attack31
Defence46
Form26

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market87.7%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
1.14

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.0%Correct
Our model63.3%
The market51.3%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Ferroviario (DNB)

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model61.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Ferroviario Win

Correct
Our model59.4%
The market78.1%
Edge
-18.7
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model43.9%
The market45.5%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.5%Close
Our model19.4%
The market16.9%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
5.92

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

19.4%

0-0

11.7%

2-0

11.4% · actual

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.