Feyenoordvs
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 73.8%
- Market said
- 71.4%
- Edge
- +2.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.40
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.40
The market underrated this by 2.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 1.40
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -2.9
- Odds
- 1.40
Match Winner
Feyenoord Win
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Feyenoord (DNB)
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- +1.0
- Odds
- 14.31
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.0%
2-2
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.