Eredivisie badgeEredivisie · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Feyenoord badgeFeyenoordvsAZ Alkmaar badgeAZ Alkmaar

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.8%
Market said
71.4%
Edge
+2.4 pts
Best odds
1.40

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.40

High confidenceEdge +2.4%
Our model73.8%
The market71.4%

The market underrated this by 2.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Feyenoord badge

Feyenoord

Attack50
Defence66
Form62
AZ Alkmaar badge

AZ Alkmaar

Attack65
Defence70
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.4%Close
Our model73.8%
The market71.4%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model68.5%
The market71.4%
Edge
-2.9
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Feyenoord Win

Miss
Our model48.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Feyenoord (DNB)

Void
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.0%
Our model8.0%
The market7.0%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
14.31

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.0%

2-2

7.2%

2-1

6.9%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.