Serie C badgeSerie C · 4 May 2026AI PICK

Figueirense badgeFigueirensevsBarra badgeBarra

0 - 3
Miss

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.9%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+13.4 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +13.4%
Our model58.9%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 13.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Figueirense badge

Figueirense

Attack36
Defence54
Form38
Barra badge

Barra

Attack54
Defence97
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.4%Miss
Our model58.9%
The market45.5%
Edge
+13.4
Odds
2.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.7%Correct
Our model52.9%
The market38.2%
Edge
+14.7
Odds
2.62

Match Winner

Figueirense Win

Miss
Our model44.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Figueirense (DNB)

Miss
Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.